{"id":3934,"date":"2019-05-19T22:11:52","date_gmt":"2019-05-19T14:11:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/?p=3934"},"modified":"2022-09-13T16:41:48","modified_gmt":"2022-09-13T08:41:48","slug":"charlie-munger-interview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/thinking-model\/charlie-munger-interview.html","title":{"rendered":"\u72ec\u5bb6\u4e13\u8bbf\u67e5\u7406\u00b7\u8292\u683c\uff1a\u6211\u662f\u5b54\u5b50\u601d\u60f3\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u8005"},"content":{"rendered":"
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CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u80a1\u4e1c\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0a\u60a8\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u60a8\u5f88\u770b\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u770b\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u5728\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\u60a8\u66fe\u7ecf\u4e3e\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u5c31\u662f\u674e\u5609\u56fe\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5408\u4f5c\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u60a8\u5f53\u65f6\u95ee\u8fc7\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u8212\u5c14\u8328\uff0c\u8212\u5c14\u8328\u7684\u56de\u7b54\u662f\u4ed6\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u53bb\u60f3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u5417\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u60a8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u8003\u8651\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u6700\u65e9\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u5148\u751f\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f8b\u5e08\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u60a8\u6ca1\u6709\u9a6c\u4e0a\u53bb\u505a\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u8fd8\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u3002\u540e\u6765\u505a\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u6536\u8d2d\u84dd\u7b79\u5370\u82b1\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u60a8\u5728\u8fd9\u6574\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u601d\u8003\u4e0e\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u8fc7\u9636\u6bb5\u6027\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u5728\u300a\u7a77\u67e5\u7406\u5b9d\u5178\u300b\u4e2d\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\u5c31\u662f\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u60a8\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u9a8c\u8bc1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u63d0\u70bc\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u5417\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6216\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u674e\u5f55\uff1a<\/strong>\u6240\u4ee5\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56de\u7b54\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u5398\u6e05\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e1c\u897f\u662f\u884c\u4e4b\u6709\u6548\u7684\uff0c\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e1c\u897f\u662f\u65e0\u6548\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u628a\u5b83\u4eec\u603b\u7ed3\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4f60\u4f1a\u4ece\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9886\u57df\u6c72\u53d6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u91cc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53bb\u5212\u5206\u90a3\u4e9b\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u90fd\u662f\u901a\u7528\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u4e4b\u524d\u5728\u4e00\u6b21\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff1a\u5bf9\u60a8\u4e00\u751f\u5e2e\u52a9\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u53bb\u54c8\u4f5b\u4e4b\u524d\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e86\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5426\u5c31\u662f\u60a8\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u6211\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u3002\u4ec0\u4e48\u6709\u6548\u4ec0\u4e48\u65e0\u6548\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u3002\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u8d70\u5728\u522b\u4eba\u524d\u9762\u4f60\u5c31\u5f97\u4e0d\u505c\u5730\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u7cbe\u51c6\u5730\u601d\u8003\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u4e5f\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u975e\u5e38\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u60f3\u8981\u8d70\u5230\u522b\u4eba\u524d\u9762\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f1a\u505a\u540c\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4e00\u70b9\u90fd\u4e0d\u5947\u602a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\u6211\u7684\u8bfb\u8005\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u70ed\u7231\u5b66\u4e60\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\u5f3a\u8c03\u201c\u8015\u201d \u4e0e \u201c\u8bfb\u201d\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u52e4\u594b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u70ed\u7231\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u51fa\u7248\u4eba\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u300a\u7a77\u67e5\u7406\u5b9d\u5178\u300b\u51fa\u7248\u540e\uff0c\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8981\u8d5a\u94b1\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b66\u4e60\u624d\u6765\u8bfb\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u3002\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u4e0a\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f20\u7edf\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5bf9\u63a5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u4ece\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u89c6\u89d2\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u662f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u7406\u6027\u601d\u8003\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u5b66\u672f\u6216\u5b66\u79d1\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u9886\u57df\u5185\u88ab\u6846\u5b9a\u4e86\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7f3a\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u666e\u4e16\u667a\u6167\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u300a\u7a77\u67e5\u7406\u5b9d\u5178\u300b\u70b9\u9192\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u505a\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u4e0a\u60a8\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u5efa\u8bae\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u5148\u8bf4\u4e00\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u91cc\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u76f8\u4fe1\u5f88\u591a\u8fd0\u6c14\u7684\u5143\u7d20\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u98ce\u6c34\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u662f\u9519\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u76f8\u4fe1\u6982\u7387\u80dc\u8fc7\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fd0\u6c14\u3002<\/strong>\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u70b9\u9020\u6210\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u201c\u5b98\u50da\u4e3b\u4e49\u201d\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u5728\u5927\u5b66\u91cc\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5b66\u79d1\u662f\u5272\u88c2\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u79d1\u4e00\u65e6\u5206\u5f00\uff0c\u5728\u5b98\u50da\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u79d1\u5c31\u88ab\u6846\u5b9a\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u5c0f\u7684\u9886\u57df\u91cc\u51fa\u4e0d\u6765\u4e86\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u3002\u5f53\u7136\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u674e\u5149\u8000\u3002\u674e\u5149\u8000\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u4f53\u7cfb\u91cc\uff0c\u5b98\u50da\u4e3b\u4e49\u662f\u6700\u5c11\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u6210\u529f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u65e2\u7136\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b58\u5728\u5b98\u50da\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u60a8\u4f9d\u7136\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6210\u529f\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u5b66\u4e60\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c31\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u4e16\u754c\u77a9\u76ee\u3002\u800c\u4e00\u65e6\u6269\u5f20\u5230\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5e76\u6536\u83b7\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\u540e\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u4f1a\u60f3\u56de\u5230\u8fc7\u53bb\u90a3\u79cd\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u4f1a\u4efb\u7531\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5012\u9000\u6216\u50cf\u5370\u5ea6\u90a3\u6837\u9677\u5165\u6df7\u4e71\u3002\u6253\u4e2a\u6bd4\u65b9\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u73b0\u5728\u4e5f\u6709\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u975e\u5e38\u597d\u5947\u674e\u5f55\u540c\u60a8\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e8b\u4e1a\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u60a8\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u4ed6\u7684\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u674e\u5f55\u60f3\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u3002\u6211\u5f88\u559c\u6b22\u4ed6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u7684\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u6211\u548c\u4ed6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7406\u5ff5\u4e5f\u662f\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u4e92\u901a\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u601d\u8003\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC<\/strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u674e\u5f55\u6709\u548c\u4f60\u4e0e\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5417\uff1f\u6709\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u72ec\u7279\u6216\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u8eab\u4e0a\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\u6bd4\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u8981\u591a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u662f\u5f88\u6ce8\u91cd\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u4eba<\/strong>\u3002<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u5173\u5fc3\u6559\u80b2\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u53d8\u5f97\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5171\u540c\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u674e\u5f55\uff1a<\/strong>\u7406\u6027\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u628a\u7406\u6027\u5f53\u505a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u8fd8\u6709\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u6301\u7eed\u6c38\u4e45\u5730\u53cb\u597d\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u63d0\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u66fe\u8bf4\u8fc7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u91cd\u89c6\u5112\u5bb6\u601d\u60f3\u3001\u91cd\u89c6\u5bb6\u5ead\u3002\u50cf\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u60a8\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e5f\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u89c6\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u60a8\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5112\u5bb6\u5bb6\u5ead\u89c2\u5ff5\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u89c2\u5ff5\u66f4\u52a0\u4f20\u7edf\u3001\u66f4\u52a0\u6781\u81f4\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6240\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u8981\u6c42\u5c31\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u80fd\u627f\u62c5\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u793e\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u867d\u7136\u4e5f\u5f88\u5fc3\u5411\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u505a\u5f97\u90a3\u4e48\u6781\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CITIC\uff1a<\/strong>\u6240\u4ee5\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u6210\u672c\u4f18\u52bf\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u65e0\u8bba\u8d70\u5230\u54ea\u91cc\u90fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u7740\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u5bb6\u5ead\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5d1b\u8d77\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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